And the way this shifted my view on tech progress within the final half-year.
I used to suppose AI was unstoppable. (Identical to Sam Altman.)
I keep in mind studying about AI fixing protein folding and considering, ‘That is unstoppable.’ However six months later, the dialog shifted to power prices and scaling issues.
It felt like this know-how had no higher restrict. However then I began trying deeper. I spotted that even the largest machines can grind to a halt with out the precise gas.
Over the previous half-year, I’ve turn into satisfied that AI will attain a plateau if it doesn’t resolve a couple of core issues.
These are the pillars of AI’s future, and each has cracks. Let’s break down why I believe these cracks matter and what would possibly occur if we don’t patch them.
I’m not a pessimist by nature.
However I can’t assist however surprise if Sam Altman ever has sleepless nights about this.
I consider that understanding the bounds of a factor is one of the simplest ways to make it higher. Right here’s the place I see the breaking factors and why they’ve modified how I view tech progress.