CMHC says complete housing begins in 2024 up 2% from 2023


By Sammy Hudes

The nationwide housing company mentioned housing begins totalled 245,120 final 12 months, up from 240,267 a 12 months earlier.

CMHC mentioned housing begins in Canada’s six largest census metropolitan areas noticed a mixed drop of three per cent in 2024 as begins in Vancouver, Toronto, and Ottawa moved decrease. Calgary, Edmonton, and Montreal noticed a rise in begins final 12 months.

“Canada’s city centres noticed an uptick in housing begins in 2024 in comparison with final 12 months, marking the third-highest 12 months on document,” mentioned CMHC chief economist Mathieu Laberge in a press launch.

“Whereas this annual enhance exhibits some indicators of progress, Canada nonetheless wants considerably larger provide development to revive affordability in city centres.”

The nationwide housing company has mentioned Canada would require an extra 3.5 million housing items by 2030, on prime of the two.3 million already projected to be constructed, to revive affordability to ranges seen in 2004.

It estimated final spring that Canada may very well be constructing as much as 400,000 new housing items yearly, based mostly on present assets dedicated to residential development.

TD economist Marc Ercolao mentioned a divide has began to emerge between Ontario and different elements of the nation, regardless of begins “working at a lofty degree nation-wide.”

“Begins are declining within the former (although December noticed a little bit of a rebound), as condominium constructing is retrenching underneath the load of weak demand,” he mentioned in a report.

“Additional declines in Ontario are possible on faucet for this 12 months, which, when mixed with cooler inhabitants development, factors to a pullback in Canadian begins in 2025.”

The outcomes for the complete 12 months got here as CMHC mentioned the seasonally adjusted annual fee for housing begins fell 13% in December to 231,468 items in contrast with 267,140 items in November.

CIBC economist Katherine Choose known as {that a} sharp drop-off, noting it was “properly beneath” the consensus expectation of 250,000 items.

“That adopted strong features within the two prior months, nevertheless, leaving the tempo of constructing for the fourth quarter total 4 per cent larger than (the third quarter),” she mentioned in a observe.

“Whereas we count on constructing to extend forward according to falling rates of interest, the acceleration in begins shall be restricted by the weak point in condominium pre-sales.”

The annual tempo of city begins in December fell 14% to 214,000 items. The tempo of begins of multi-unit city houses similar to residences, condominiums and townhouses dropped 15% to 168,515, whereas the speed of city single-detached dwelling begins fell 10% to 45,485.

The seasonally adjusted annual fee of rural begins was 17,468 items in December.

This report by The Canadian Press was first printed Jan. 16, 2025.

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Final modified: January 16, 2025

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