Actual GDP, Development, and Actual Property Insights


Actual GDP of metropolitan areas rose 2.7% in 2023, with the “actual property, rental and leasing” sector contributing 0.34 share factors and development contracting progress by 0.11 share factors. Whereas many metro areas adopted the nationwide progress development, every area has its distinctive financial narrative. This text explores the financial traits driving these outcomes, specializing in the main metro areas in actual GDP progress, the development sector’s standout performers over a five-year interval, and the highest MSAs benefiting from progress in actual property, rental, and leasing.

In 2023, actual GDP elevated in 348 Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs), decreased in 34 MSAs, and remained unchanged in 3 MSAs, in keeping with the U.S. Bureau of Financial Evaluation (BEA). The info, which was lately launched in December 2024, reveals the vary of progress spanned from 42.9% in Midland, TX, to a contraction of -9.3% in Elkhart-Goshen, IN. Three MSAs—Ithaca, NY, Joplin, MO, and Longview, WA—noticed no change in actual GDP.

The oil and gasoline sector performed a major position in driving progress in lots of MSAs. Midland, TX, recorded the best progress as a consequence of a surge in oil manufacturing, with the “mining, quarrying, and oil and gasoline extraction” business contributing a hefty 41.2 share factors to the metro space’s GDP progress. Moreover, among the many prime 5 highest progress areas, 4 had this business because the main contributor.

Prime 5 MSAs by Actual GDP Progress and Main Contributing Trade

Metro Space 2023 Actual GDP Progress (%) Largest Contributing Trade Contribution (Share Factors)
Midland, TX 42.9 Mining, quarrying, and oil and gasoline extraction 41.2
Greeley, CO 18.5 Mining, quarrying, and oil and gasoline extraction 15.5
El Centro, CA 16.4 Agriculture, forestry, fishing, and looking 14.4
Odessa, TX 11.6 Mining, quarrying, and oil and gasoline extraction 7.1
Wheeling, WV-OH 10.7 Mining, quarrying, and oil and gasoline extraction 9.9

Development Sector Progress (2018–2023)

From 2018 to 2023, the development business exhibited a blended efficiency, with 140 MSAs reporting optimistic compound annual progress charges (CAGR), 188 recording declines, and 5 exhibiting no change. States like Idaho, Arizona, and Florida emerged as hotspots for development progress throughout this era whereas states within the East North Central division seem to have slowdowns on this sector.

Elizabethtown-Fort Knox, KY, led with a 14.4% CAGR in development. This increase was primarily pushed by the event of the BlueOval SK Battery Park, slated to start manufacturing in 2025. This three way partnership between Ford Motor Firm and SK On, a South Korean electrical automobile (EV) provider, is predicted to be the most important EV battery manufacturing facility globally.

In line with a examine by the Hardin County Chamber of Commerce (HCCC), the undertaking is estimated to:

  • Generate $1.6 billion in development payroll.
  • Create 5,000 jobs by the top of 2025.
  • Require 3,100 extra housing models to accommodate new employees.

Prime 5 MSAs for Development Progress (2018–2023):

Metro Space CAGR (%) Common Contribution (Share Factors)
Elizabethtown-Fort Knox, KY 14.4 0.45
Clarksville, TN-KY 10.8 0.03
Punta Gorda, FL 10.6 1.12
Jacksonville, NC 10.2 0.32
The Villages, FL 10.1 1.23

Actual Property, Rental, and Leasing Progress (2018–2023)

The actual property, rental, and leasing sector additionally confirmed sturdy progress in lots of areas, with 209 MSAs experiencing optimistic progress in the course of the five-year interval. The Villages, FL, recorded the best CAGR at 14.1%, reflecting its standing because the nation’s largest neighborhood designed for an getting old inhabitants.

Different MSAs like Jonesboro, AR, noticed important actual property progress as a consequence of proximity to Arkansas State College, whereas Austin-Spherical Rock-Georgetown, TX, benefited from a inhabitants inflow due to its thriving tech economic system.

Prime 5 MSAs for Actual Property Progress (2018–2023):

Metro Space CAGR (%) Common Contribution (Share Factors)
The Villages, FL 14.1 3.6
Jonesboro, AR 12.1 1.2
Twin Falls, ID 10.8 1.1
Austin-Spherical Rock-Georgetown, TX 10.7 1.4
El Centro, CA 10.6 0.6

Go to NAHB’s dashboard for added information and visualizations on demographics, housing market and the economic system for all metro areas.


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