Indian Power Change Ltd – Remodeling energy markets
Established in 2008 and headquartered in New Delhi, Indian Power Change Ltd (IEX), is India’s main digital buying and selling platform for the bodily supply of electrical energy, renewables, and certificates enabling the contributors to purchase or promote vitality via double-sided closed public sale course of. Working underneath the laws of Central Electrical energy Regulatory Fee (CERC) the platform facilitates the matching of bids and affords from patrons and sellers, enabling them to transact based mostly on market-based pricing. IEXs main income is the transaction charge charged from contributors for utilising its buying and selling platform with different revenue sources being membership charge and annual subscription charge, charge from promoting market knowledge and different worth added and ancillary companies. As of Q4FY25, the corporate has a strong ecosystem of 8,500+ registered contributors, 5,700+ business and business gamers and a couple of,500+ RE mills and obligated entities.
Merchandise and Companies
The services provided by the corporate may be categorised underneath the next market segments:
- Electrical energy market
- Day Forward Market (DAM) – Bodily supply of energy inside 24 hours of bidding.
- Time period Forward Market (TAM) – The contributors can purchase/promote electrical energy on a time period foundation.
- Actual Time Market (RTM) – Bodily supply of energy inside an hour of bidding course of.
- Cross Border Electrical energy Commerce (CBET) – CBET with South Asian nations in DAM and RTM buying and selling.
- Inexperienced Market – Merchandise equivalent to Inexperienced DAM, Inexperienced TAM that facilitate buying and selling of renewable vitality equivalent to photo voltaic, wind and so on.
- Certificates Market – Represents 1 MWh of vitality saved from a challenge/electrical energy generated from a renewable vitality useful resource.
Subsidiaries – As of FY24, the corporate has one subsidiary and one affiliate firm.
Funding Rationale
- Targeted Development Plans – The corporate is increasing its attain within the inexperienced vitality area via its subsidiary, Worldwide Carbon Change (ICX). In September 2024, ICX grew to become India’s first accredited issuer of Worldwide Renewable Power Certificates (I-RECs), that are globally acknowledged proof that 1 megawatt-hour of electrical energy has been generated from renewable sources like photo voltaic or wind. In simply 7 months, ICX has issued 59 lakh (5.9 million) I-RECs – a robust begin on this fast-growing market. IEX can also be engaged on launching India’s first coal buying and selling alternate, displaying its intent to develop and diversify. The Indian Fuel Change (IGX), promoted by IEX, achieved its highest-ever annual buying and selling quantity of 60 million MMBtu in FY25 – a 47% soar over the earlier yr. This reveals sturdy development in India’s fuel market and underlines IGX’s rising significance as an vitality buying and selling platform.
- Robust enterprise efficiency – RTM grew 29% this quarter to 9.7 billion models (BU), displaying rising demand for short-term energy buying and selling. The Inexperienced Market doubled its quantity to 1.9 BU. This development helps India’s clear vitality targets by serving to energy corporations meet their renewable vitality obligations. IEX can also be ready for regulatory approval to increase the Time period Forward Market buying and selling window from 90 days to 11 months — a transfer that would appeal to extra contributors. The listening to for one more petition associated to the Inexperienced RTM phase is full, and public suggestions has been submitted to the regulator.
- Q4FY25 – The corporate generated complete income of Rs.175 crore, a 17% development from Rs.149 crore of Q4FY24. Working revenue was at Rs.158 crore in comparison with the Rs.135 crore of the earlier yr, a development of 17%. Internet revenue improved by 21% YoY from Rs.97 crore to Rs.117 crore. The corporate traded 31.7 BU of electrical energy quantity through the quarter, a development of 18% YoY.
- FY25 – In the course of the FY, IEX generated income of Rs.657 crore, a rise of 19% in comparison with the FY24 income. Working revenue is at Rs.588 crore, up by 20% YoY. The corporate reported internet revenue of Rs.429 crore, a rise of twenty-two% YoY. The corporate traded 121 BU of electrical energy in FY25, a development of 19% in comparison with FY24.
- Monetary Efficiency – The income and internet revenue CAGR of the corporate for the previous 3 years is round 8% and 12% between FY23-FY25. The three-year common ROE and ROCE for the corporate is round 39% and 51% for the previous 3 years. The corporate has a strong capital construction with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01.
Business
The ability sector in India performs a significant function in supporting financial development and growth. Over the previous decade, authorities initiatives such because the creation of a unified nationwide grid, expanded distribution infrastructure, and near-universal family electrification have helped shift the nation from a power-deficit to a power-surplus standing. Energy technology reached roughly 1,378.42 BU in FY25 (as much as December 2024), reflecting sturdy demand development. The sector is present process a big transformation, pushed by rising electrical energy consumption, a transition towards renewable vitality, and ongoing coverage reforms aimed toward rising market effectivity. With a rising give attention to sustainability and infrastructure funding, India’s energy business is well-positioned for long-term development.
Development Drivers
- Authorities plans to speculate Rs. 9,12,000 crore (US$ 107.89 billion) in energy transmission infrastructure by 2032 to spice up capability and help rising electrical energy demand.
- Within the Union Price range 2025-26, the federal government boosted its flagship rooftop photo voltaic initiative, PM Surya Ghar: Muft Bijli Yojana, by allocating Rs. 20,000 crore (US$ 2.33 billion) an 80% enhance to fast-track the deployment of rooftop photo voltaic tasks.
- 100% FDI allowed within the energy sector has boosted FDI influx on this sector.
Peer Evaluation
IEX is a moat in its enterprise phase and there’s no listed competitor with the same vary of operations. Right here we’re evaluating it with Multi Commodity Change of India Ltd. IEX is undervalued producing sturdy returns from the invested capital.
Outlook
IEX is well-positioned to learn from India’s rising vitality demand and the continued shift towards renewable and market-based electrical energy buying and selling. The corporate is sustaining an electrical energy quantity development of two.5 to 3x occasions to the electrical energy demand within the nation. With sturdy development in real-time and inexperienced energy segments, new initiatives just like the carbon alternate, and rising volumes on its fuel platform, the corporate is increasing past its core enterprise. Supported by a high-margin, asset-light mannequin and potential regulatory tailwinds, IEX affords a compelling long-term development story for buyers in search of publicity to India’s vitality transformation.
Valuation
Given the sustained sturdy demand for electrical energy and the anticipated enlargement of electrical energy exchanges as a result of enhanced value discovery, IEX, because the market chief, is ideally positioned to reap the benefits of these favorable situations. We suggest a BUY ranking within the inventory with the goal value (TP) of Rs.226, 42x FY27E EPS.
SWOT Evaluation
Recap of our earlier suggestions (As on 27 June 2025)
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