Key Takeaways
- The Dow Jones Industrial Common enters buying and selling Wednesday on a nine-day shedding streak, the longest stretch of consecutive day by day declines for the blue chip index since 1978.
- The index has continued to development decrease after working into resistance close to the highest trendline of an ascending channel earlier this month, elevating the opportunity of a possible breakdown.
- Traders ought to watch main help ranges on the Dow’s chart round 43,300, 41,600, and 40,000, whereas additionally monitoring a key overhead space close to 45,000.
The Dow Jones Industrial Common (DJI) enters buying and selling Wednesday on a nine-day shedding streak, the longest stretch of consecutive day by day declines for the blue chip index since 1978.
The droop, which equates to just about 1,600 factors, comes after the index closed above the intently watched 45,000 degree for the primary time on Dec. 4 following an prolonged post-election rally fueled by expectations of a market-friendly White Home and Congress.
Regardless of the current shedding streak, the index continues to be up 15% in 2024. Nevertheless, that return considerably underperforms the S&P 500’s 27% acquire and the Nasdaq Composite’s 34% bounce over the identical interval as a result of Dow’s smaller publicity to mega cap tech firms.
Under, let’s break down the technicals on the Dow’s chart and level out necessary chart ranges that traders could also be watching out for.
Ascending Channel in Focus
The Dow has tracked larger inside an orderly ascending channel since late July, with the index tagging the sample’s higher and decrease trendlines a number of occasions to ascertain simply identifiable help and resistance areas.
Extra just lately, the index has trended decrease after working into resistance close to the channel’s prime trendline earlier this month, elevating the opportunity of a possible breakdown.
Whereas the relative power index (RSI) confirms weakening momentum, it’s price noting that the final time the indicator flashed an analogous studying in late October, the Dow went on to rally 6% over the subsequent seven buying and selling classes.
Let’s take a look at three main ranges on the chart the place the index might encounter help and in addition level out a key overhead space to look at throughout upswings.
Main Assist Ranges to Watch
Essentially the most quick degree to look at sits round 43,300. This space, slightly below the index’s newest shut of 43,450, finds a confluence of help from the ascending channel’s decrease trendline, the upward sloping 50-day transferring common, the October swing excessive and the November swing low.
A decisive breakdown under the ascending channel might see the index fall to the 41,600 degree. Traders who commerce the index might search for shopping for alternatives close to the outstanding late August peak and early November trough.
An prolonged draw back transfer might see the index revisit the psychological 40,000 degree, a area the place it could seemingly encounter help close to a long-term trendline that hyperlinks numerous swing highs and swing lows on the chart between March and September.
Key Overhead Space to Monitor Throughout Upswings
Throughout upswings, traders ought to intently monitor the important thing 45,000 degree. The index might run into overhead resistance on this space close to the higher vary of a sequence of candlesticks positioned across the Dow’s all-time excessive (ATH).
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