It is in all probability an indication of the occasions, must dip in high quality to seek out some concepts and this pitch makes me throw up a little bit in my mouth.
Braemar Motels & Resorts (BHR) (~$200MM market cap, ~$2.1B enterprise worth) is a luxurious resort REIT that was previously often called Ashford Prime, a spin of Ashford Hospitality Belief (AHT) in 2013. BHR is externally managed by Ashford Inc (previously AINC, went personal by way of a reverse/ahead cut up final yr), the creation of the notorious Monty Bennett. Resort REITs are a difficult enterprise as a result of they should outsource the resort administration perform to a 3rd get together to take care of REIT standing, then additionally pay for the franchise flag, throw on prime of that an egregious exterior asset administration contract and BHR by no means had an opportunity. The one cause these exterior Ashford resort REITs exist is as a result of they had been all initially beneath one roof earlier than AINC was spun from AHT. I do not suppose this construction would have gotten public in any other case.
Once more, skipping loads of historical past right here, there was quite a few activists at BHR making an attempt numerous methods to take away Ashford from an in any other case wholesome portfolio of luxurious inns. Lastly, on August twenty sixth, the REIT formally waived the white flag and introduced the initiation of a sale course of.
In a typical exterior REIT administration settlement, there is perhaps a 3x termination price, not so with BHR, Ashford has negotiated a “low cost” to their termination price with the board to facilitate a sale:
Their termination price is 12x PLUS one other 20% on prime of that, once more actually gross and no approach AINC would have come public with out being a spinout of its blood sucking host AHT. Bennett would later steal AINC by issuing himself most popular inventory and draining all worth from minority AINC shareholders. Whereas I simply wrote up not being certain concerning the incentives within the TURN/MCLI deal, right here they’re squarely in our face that Ashford solely cares about themselves and views this as an opportune time to get 14-15 years value of administration charges upfront.
Nonetheless, I nonetheless suppose there is perhaps a commerce right here, albeit a really dangerous one. This sale course of rhymes a bit with Bluerock Residential Progress REIT (fka BRG, now BHM) the place you had an externally managed REIT with a messy steadiness sheet that successfully made the fairness a stub. Any optimistic shock within the gross sales course of produced distinctive returns for the stub. Beneath is my fast again of the envelope math on the potential outcomes of a BHR sale based mostly on numerous cap charges:
Disclosure: I personal shares of BHR plus just a few name choices